2026 Q1 Market Recap & 2Q Outlook

Aerial view of oil infrastructure representing the Strait of Hormuz closure and crude oil price surge in Q1 2026

A geopolitical shock in the Middle East sent oil prices surging more than +70% in Q1, erasing all expected Fed rate cuts and testing how well-diversified portfolios actually were. For many investors, the answer was: considerably better than the S&P 500’s -4.3% return suggests

2025 4Q Outlook: Shifting Gears

Markets surged to record highs in 3Q 2025 as the Fed’s first rate cut reignited optimism, with AI-driven market growth and broader participation leading gains, but a cooling labor market and fiscal uncertainty set the tone for a more selective, year-end investment positioning in 4Q

Navigating Tariffs, Volatility, and a Slowing Economy

The markets face a challenging path as tariff policies intensify economic uncertainty, yet opportunities persist for discerning investors. KEY POINTS Navigating Uncertainty as Trade Tensions Rise and Market Volatility Grows Exhibit 1:Key Markets Performance through April 4, 2025 Typically, our quarterly review reflects on the prior quarter’s market and economic trends while offering forward-looking insights. […]

Fed Rate Cuts Signal Economic Shift: What’s Next for Investors?

As the Fed shifts its stance, investors must now weigh the broader economic implications. KEY POINTS A Strong Start for Markets, but Focus Remains on the Fed Exhibit 1:Key Markets Performance in 3Q24 Equity markets reached new highs in the third quarter overcoming oscillating economic data and uncertainty over the timing of Federal Reserve rate […]

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